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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.51+2.86vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.30+2.26vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.05+1.70vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.96-0.75vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.42-2.47vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.29-1.69vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.73-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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4.26Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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4.7Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
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3.25University of Vermont2.960.2%1st Place
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2.53Boston University3.420.3%1st Place
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4.31Connecticut College2.290.1%1st Place
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5.08Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lizzy Hamilton | 13.9% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 10.3% |
| Kate Levinson | 9.0% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 17.8% | 13.2% |
| Victoria McGruer | 8.0% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 20.2% | 22.2% |
| Amina Brown | 19.9% | 19.9% | 17.4% | 17.4% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 3.8% |
| Hannah Polster | 32.0% | 25.5% | 18.7% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 11.2% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 17.3% | 17.3% | 15.9% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 34.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.