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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.30+3.22vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.51+1.91vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.42-0.51vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.29+0.36vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.96-1.80vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.05-1.28vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.73-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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3.91Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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2.49Boston University3.420.3%1st Place
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4.36Connecticut College2.290.1%1st Place
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3.2University of Vermont2.960.2%1st Place
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4.72Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
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5.09Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Levinson | 11.1% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 14.6% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 12.2% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 17.7% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 9.3% |
| Hannah Polster | 34.7% | 23.0% | 18.2% | 13.2% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 8.9% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 18.2% | 15.4% |
| Amina Brown | 19.1% | 21.1% | 19.1% | 17.3% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 3.4% |
| Victoria McGruer | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 16.3% | 20.2% | 22.9% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 14.4% | 20.5% | 32.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.