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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+1.49vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.30+2.29vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.51+0.91vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.73+1.23vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.96-1.77vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.29-1.70vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.05-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49Boston University3.420.4%1st Place
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4.29Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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3.91Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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5.23Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
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3.23University of Vermont2.960.2%1st Place
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4.3Connecticut College2.290.1%1st Place
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4.55Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 35.8% | 22.8% | 17.2% | 11.9% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Kate Levinson | 9.2% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 17.4% | 14.2% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 11.6% | 14.2% | 18.0% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 9.8% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 5.4% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 20.3% | 35.8% |
| Amina Brown | 17.7% | 22.9% | 17.6% | 17.7% | 13.2% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 9.9% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 18.4% | 14.5% |
| Victoria McGruer | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 18.0% | 19.2% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.