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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.51+2.86vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.29+2.25vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.30+1.31vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.05+0.73vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.73+0.22vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.96-2.78vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.42-4.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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4.25Connecticut College2.290.1%1st Place
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4.31Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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4.73Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
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5.22Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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3.22University of Vermont2.960.2%1st Place
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2.41Boston University3.420.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lizzy Hamilton | 13.5% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 9.8% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 9.9% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 19.4% | 16.0% | 13.7% |
| Kate Levinson | 9.9% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 18.5% | 14.9% |
| Victoria McGruer | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 20.8% | 21.7% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 4.7% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 18.9% | 34.8% |
| Amina Brown | 18.9% | 21.6% | 19.0% | 16.3% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 3.7% |
| Hannah Polster | 36.0% | 25.4% | 16.4% | 11.8% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.