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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.96+2.13vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.42+0.48vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.29+1.31vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.30+0.32vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.51-1.01vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.05-1.30vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.73-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13University of Vermont2.960.2%1st Place
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2.48Boston University3.420.3%1st Place
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4.31Connecticut College2.290.1%1st Place
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4.32Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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3.99Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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4.7Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
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5.07Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amina Brown | 22.5% | 21.3% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 4.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 33.1% | 25.6% | 18.6% | 11.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 9.8% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 16.9% | 18.0% | 16.7% | 14.5% |
| Kate Levinson | 9.8% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 16.8% | 17.6% | 17.6% | 14.6% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 10.6% | 14.9% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 17.5% | 13.8% | 10.6% |
| Victoria McGruer | 8.1% | 7.5% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 18.5% | 22.7% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 21.9% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.