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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.51+2.89vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.29+2.25vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.05+1.71vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.30+0.35vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.42-2.46vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.96-2.80vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.73-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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4.25Connecticut College2.290.1%1st Place
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4.71Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
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4.35Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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2.54Boston University3.420.3%1st Place
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3.2University of Vermont2.960.2%1st Place
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5.05Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lizzy Hamilton | 13.2% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 10.1% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 9.3% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 13.8% |
| Victoria McGruer | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 19.4% | 22.7% |
| Kate Levinson | 9.1% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 16.5% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 16.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 32.1% | 24.8% | 18.4% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Amina Brown | 21.5% | 17.9% | 20.2% | 16.2% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 3.9% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 19.7% | 32.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.