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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+1.51vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.29+2.27vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.96+0.22vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.51-0.04vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.30-0.67vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.73-0.82vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.05-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Boston University3.420.3%1st Place
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4.27Connecticut College2.290.1%1st Place
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3.22University of Vermont2.960.2%1st Place
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3.96Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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4.33Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.18Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
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4.53Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 34.9% | 23.1% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 8.8% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 17.1% | 14.1% |
| Amina Brown | 18.5% | 22.7% | 17.7% | 16.7% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 4.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 13.2% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 18.2% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 10.3% |
| Kate Levinson | 8.6% | 11.7% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 16.9% | 16.3% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 6.2% | 5.1% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 18.2% | 35.7% |
| Victoria McGruer | 9.8% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 17.4% | 21.9% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.