← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College2.29+3.23vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.51+1.90vs Predicted
-
3Boston University3.42-0.51vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.30+0.36vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University2.05-0.27vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont2.96-2.79vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College1.73-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.23Connecticut College2.290.1%1st Place
-
3.9Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
-
2.49Boston University3.420.3%1st Place
-
4.36Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
-
4.73Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
-
3.21University of Vermont2.960.2%1st Place
-
5.08Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 10.8% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 17.0% | 14.5% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 13.2% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 17.4% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 9.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 33.3% | 25.4% | 17.9% | 11.8% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Kate Levinson | 9.0% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 17.6% | 17.8% | 15.2% |
| Victoria McGruer | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 16.9% | 19.7% | 22.5% |
| Amina Brown | 20.2% | 19.2% | 21.0% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 3.9% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 20.0% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.