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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College0.58+1.69vs Predicted
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2University of Central Florida-0.46+3.04vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-0.33+1.10vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida-0.31+0.52vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.45-2.19vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-0.13-2.05vs Predicted
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7University of Central Florida-1.99-0.27vs Predicted
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8-2.06-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Rollins College0.5828.3%1st Place
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5.04University of Central Florida-0.465.9%1st Place
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4.1Jacksonville University-0.3311.9%1st Place
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4.52University of South Florida-0.319.4%1st Place
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2.81University of South Florida0.4526.4%1st Place
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3.95Rollins College-0.1313.2%1st Place
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6.73University of Central Florida-1.992.1%1st Place
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6.15-2.062.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shay Bridge | 28.3% | 23.5% | 20.2% | 13.9% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Julian Larsen | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 19.9% | 9.6% |
| Kayla Putzke | 11.9% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 17.4% | 18.4% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 3.0% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 9.4% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 18.6% | 13.9% | 4.6% |
| Sara Menesale | 26.4% | 23.7% | 18.9% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Julia Scott | 13.2% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 7.6% | 2.9% |
| Adrien Barnes | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 11.0% | 19.9% | 49.9% |
| Liam Dunn | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 15.4% | 26.4% | 29.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.