← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College2.51+2.83vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.42+0.51vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College2.29+1.32vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.30+0.33vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University2.05-0.27vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont2.96-2.81vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College1.73-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.83Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
-
2.51Boston University3.420.3%1st Place
-
4.32Connecticut College2.290.1%1st Place
-
4.33Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
-
4.73Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
-
3.19University of Vermont2.960.2%1st Place
-
5.08Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lizzy Hamilton | 14.4% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 9.3% |
| Hannah Polster | 31.5% | 26.4% | 18.5% | 12.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 10.4% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 18.0% | 15.7% | 18.3% | 14.6% |
| Kate Levinson | 9.3% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 15.4% |
| Victoria McGruer | 7.3% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 18.2% | 19.7% | 22.2% |
| Amina Brown | 20.9% | 20.6% | 17.3% | 16.8% | 12.8% | 7.5% | 4.1% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 14.5% | 19.5% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.