← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan1.85+1.30vs Predicted
-
2Purdue University0.83+1.75vs Predicted
-
3Grand Valley State University1.06+0.42vs Predicted
-
4Ohio State University0.34+0.60vs Predicted
-
5Michigan State University1.06-1.53vs Predicted
-
6Western Michigan University-0.34-0.47vs Predicted
-
7Michigan Technological University0.01-2.08vs Predicted
-
8Purdue University0.83-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.3University of Michigan1.850.4%1st Place
-
3.75Purdue University0.830.1%1st Place
-
3.42Grand Valley State University1.060.2%1st Place
-
4.6Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
-
3.47Michigan State University1.060.1%1st Place
-
5.53Western Michigan University-0.340.0%1st Place
-
4.92Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
-
3.75Purdue University0.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Etheridge | 39.6% | 23.9% | 16.0% | 11.4% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Phil Holt | 11.7% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 20.0% | 17.1% | 11.8% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Lee | 15.3% | 18.7% | 19.7% | 18.9% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 19.2% | 20.2% | 17.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Declercq | 14.1% | 20.3% | 19.1% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 10.3% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Blake Utz | 4.7% | 3.1% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 20.6% | 42.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Henley | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 16.2% | 25.6% | 23.9% | 0.0% |
| Phil Holt | 11.7% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 20.0% | 17.1% | 11.8% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.