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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.85+1.27vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.01+3.03vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.34+1.57vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University1.06-0.57vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.83-1.16vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University1.06-2.55vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-0.34-1.58vs Predicted
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8Purdue University0.83-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27University of Michigan1.850.4%1st Place
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5.03Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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4.57Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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3.43Michigan State University1.060.2%1st Place
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3.84Purdue University0.830.1%1st Place
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3.45Grand Valley State University1.060.2%1st Place
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5.42Western Michigan University-0.340.0%1st Place
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3.84Purdue University0.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Etheridge | 39.1% | 25.0% | 17.4% | 10.5% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Henley | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 23.6% | 26.4% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 7.2% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 18.2% | 21.0% | 16.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Declercq | 16.6% | 18.7% | 17.3% | 18.1% | 15.5% | 9.9% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Phil Holt | 11.1% | 15.9% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 18.2% | 13.6% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Lee | 15.7% | 17.6% | 19.8% | 18.3% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Blake Utz | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 20.0% | 41.1% | 0.0% |
| Phil Holt | 11.1% | 15.9% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 18.2% | 13.6% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.