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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.85+1.09vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.83+1.42vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-0.30+2.21vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.34+0.26vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University1.06-1.82vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-0.34-0.78vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University0.01-2.38vs Predicted
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8Purdue University0.83-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09University of Michigan1.850.4%1st Place
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3.42Purdue University0.830.1%1st Place
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5.21Grand Valley State University-0.300.0%1st Place
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4.26Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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3.18Michigan State University1.060.2%1st Place
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5.22Western Michigan University-0.340.1%1st Place
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4.62Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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3.42Purdue University0.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Etheridge | 44.3% | 24.3% | 16.5% | 9.5% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Phil Holt | 13.3% | 20.4% | 19.8% | 19.7% | 14.8% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Barnes | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 22.5% | 31.5% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 8.2% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 19.2% | 17.8% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Declercq | 16.0% | 24.9% | 18.6% | 18.7% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Blake Utz | 5.1% | 4.2% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 20.4% | 33.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Henley | 8.5% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 18.7% | 22.9% | 16.8% | 0.0% |
| Phil Holt | 13.3% | 20.4% | 19.8% | 19.7% | 14.8% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.