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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.83+2.40vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.85+0.08vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.34+1.24vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-0.30+1.24vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University1.06-1.85vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University0.01-1.25vs Predicted
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7Purdue University0.83-3.60vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-0.34-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4Purdue University0.830.2%1st Place
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2.08University of Michigan1.850.4%1st Place
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4.24Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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5.24Grand Valley State University-0.300.0%1st Place
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3.15Michigan State University1.060.2%1st Place
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4.75Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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3.4Purdue University0.830.2%1st Place
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5.13Western Michigan University-0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Holt | 16.3% | 19.0% | 17.5% | 19.4% | 15.1% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 43.2% | 26.8% | 16.0% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 8.7% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 19.3% | 19.5% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Barnes | 4.1% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 24.1% | 31.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Declercq | 17.2% | 22.9% | 21.5% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Henley | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 16.9% | 17.5% | 21.6% | 19.6% | 0.0% |
| Phil Holt | 16.3% | 19.0% | 17.5% | 19.4% | 15.1% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Utz | 4.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 16.0% | 22.4% | 30.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.