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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.83+2.24vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.34+2.06vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University0.01+1.64vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University1.06-1.04vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University1.06-2.01vs Predicted
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6Purdue University0.83-2.76vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.24-1.98vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-0.34-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24Purdue University0.830.2%1st Place
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4.06Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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4.64Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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2.96Michigan State University1.060.2%1st Place
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2.99Grand Valley State University1.060.2%1st Place
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3.24Purdue University0.830.2%1st Place
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5.02University of Michigan-0.240.1%1st Place
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5.09Western Michigan University-0.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Holt | 21.7% | 18.1% | 17.8% | 17.3% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 10.0% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 17.8% | 17.0% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Henley | 8.3% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 18.2% | 18.8% | 20.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Declercq | 24.3% | 20.7% | 19.1% | 16.4% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Lee | 23.4% | 23.0% | 16.8% | 17.0% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Phil Holt | 21.7% | 18.1% | 17.8% | 17.3% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Bradford | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 21.6% | 28.3% | 0.0% |
| Blake Utz | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 20.3% | 32.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.