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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.83+2.21vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University1.06+0.90vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.34+1.14vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University1.06-1.04vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University0.01-0.31vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-0.24-0.99vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-0.34-1.91vs Predicted
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8Purdue University0.83-4.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21Purdue University0.830.2%1st Place
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2.9Grand Valley State University1.060.2%1st Place
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4.14Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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2.96Michigan State University1.060.2%1st Place
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4.69Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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5.01University of Michigan-0.240.1%1st Place
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5.09Western Michigan University-0.340.1%1st Place
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3.21Purdue University0.830.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Holt | 21.2% | 19.7% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Lee | 24.5% | 23.3% | 19.3% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 11.4% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 16.9% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Declercq | 23.7% | 22.0% | 19.0% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Henley | 6.4% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 16.8% | 20.3% | 20.5% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Bradford | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 22.5% | 27.2% | 0.0% |
| Blake Utz | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 15.7% | 21.4% | 31.6% | 0.0% |
| Phil Holt | 21.2% | 19.7% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.