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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.85+1.11vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University1.06+1.09vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.83+0.46vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.34+0.26vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University0.01-0.22vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-0.34-0.79vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-0.30-1.91vs Predicted
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8Purdue University0.83-4.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11University of Michigan1.850.4%1st Place
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3.09Michigan State University1.060.2%1st Place
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3.46Purdue University0.830.1%1st Place
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4.26Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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4.78Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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5.21Western Michigan University-0.340.0%1st Place
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5.09Grand Valley State University-0.300.1%1st Place
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3.46Purdue University0.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Etheridge | 44.0% | 25.1% | 15.7% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Declercq | 17.4% | 23.7% | 21.8% | 17.6% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Phil Holt | 14.0% | 18.5% | 21.1% | 18.1% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 8.6% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 18.8% | 18.5% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Henley | 5.3% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 15.9% | 18.6% | 19.5% | 21.3% | 0.0% |
| Blake Utz | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 21.2% | 31.6% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Barnes | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 16.4% | 23.1% | 29.0% | 0.0% |
| Phil Holt | 14.0% | 18.5% | 21.1% | 18.1% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.