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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.85+1.11vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.83+1.44vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University1.06+0.11vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.34+0.25vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University0.01-0.22vs Predicted
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6Purdue University0.83-2.56vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-0.34-1.80vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-0.30-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11University of Michigan1.850.4%1st Place
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3.44Purdue University0.830.1%1st Place
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3.11Michigan State University1.060.2%1st Place
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4.25Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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4.78Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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3.44Purdue University0.830.1%1st Place
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5.2Western Michigan University-0.340.1%1st Place
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5.09Grand Valley State University-0.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Etheridge | 43.8% | 25.0% | 15.9% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Phil Holt | 13.7% | 19.6% | 19.6% | 19.9% | 14.3% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Declercq | 17.4% | 23.6% | 21.4% | 17.1% | 11.8% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 8.7% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 19.0% | 18.3% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Henley | 5.3% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 18.5% | 20.7% | 20.7% | 0.0% |
| Phil Holt | 13.7% | 19.6% | 19.6% | 19.9% | 14.3% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Blake Utz | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 16.5% | 21.3% | 31.6% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Barnes | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 15.7% | 23.7% | 29.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.