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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.85+1.11vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.83+1.44vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University1.06+0.12vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-0.34+1.30vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.83-1.56vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.34-1.76vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-0.30-1.82vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University0.01-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11University of Michigan1.850.4%1st Place
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3.44Purdue University0.830.1%1st Place
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3.12Michigan State University1.060.2%1st Place
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5.3Western Michigan University-0.340.0%1st Place
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3.44Purdue University0.830.1%1st Place
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4.24Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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5.18Grand Valley State University-0.300.1%1st Place
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4.6Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Etheridge | 43.4% | 25.4% | 16.4% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Phil Holt | 13.9% | 19.6% | 18.5% | 21.1% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Declercq | 18.4% | 23.0% | 19.9% | 17.3% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Blake Utz | 3.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 23.2% | 33.2% | 0.0% |
| Phil Holt | 13.9% | 19.6% | 18.5% | 21.1% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 7.6% | 11.4% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 19.0% | 17.6% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Barnes | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 21.5% | 31.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Henley | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 20.2% | 20.8% | 17.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.