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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.57+2.60vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.97+3.23vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.18+4.80vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.82+1.81vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.76+0.81vs Predicted
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6McGill University-0.38+9.12vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.41+0.08vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.10+5.81vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.84+0.05vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.64-3.82vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.83-1.93vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.97-0.24vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.20-5.20vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.49-7.11vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.69-2.45vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.52-2.91vs Predicted
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17Bates College0.78-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6Yale University3.570.2%1st Place
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5.23Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.8Roger Williams University2.180.0%1st Place
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5.81Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.81Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
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15.12McGill University-0.380.0%1st Place
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7.08Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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13.81University of New Hampshire0.100.0%1st Place
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9.05Boston University1.840.0%1st Place
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6.18Connecticut College2.640.1%1st Place
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9.07University of Vermont1.830.0%1st Place
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11.76University of Rhode Island0.970.0%1st Place
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7.8Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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6.89Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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12.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.690.0%1st Place
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13.09Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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12.35Bates College0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Nickbarg | 24.1% | 18.6% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Campbell Duffy | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sky Adams | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| T. Max Bulger | 9.4% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Clement | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 19.4% | 44.0% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Whit Durant | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 15.1% | 21.3% | 22.6% |
| Joseph Ballow | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Timothy Clark | 8.5% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alden Winder | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Douglas Young | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 5.2% |
| Emily McNeil | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ben Lamont | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Santiago Enrique | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 12.8% | 9.4% |
| Cameron Murphy | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 19.1% | 10.4% |
| Rachel Pedersen | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.