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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College0.58+1.67vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.45+0.74vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-0.33+1.19vs Predicted
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4University of Central Florida-0.46+1.03vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida-0.31-0.42vs Predicted
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6-2.06+0.22vs Predicted
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7Rollins College-0.13-3.11vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-1.99-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67Rollins College0.5828.6%1st Place
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2.74University of South Florida0.4527.2%1st Place
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4.19Jacksonville University-0.3311.3%1st Place
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5.03University of Central Florida-0.466.5%1st Place
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4.58University of South Florida-0.318.2%1st Place
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6.22-2.063.1%1st Place
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3.89Rollins College-0.1313.1%1st Place
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6.69University of Central Florida-1.992.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Shay Bridge | 28.6% | 24.4% | 19.1% | 13.8% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Sara Menesale | 27.2% | 23.6% | 19.9% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Kayla Putzke | 11.3% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 18.8% | 14.6% | 9.7% | 3.5% |
Julian Larsen | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 19.1% | 18.8% | 9.6% |
Garrett Floerchinger | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 18.8% | 18.6% | 13.0% | 4.8% |
Liam Dunn | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 14.5% | 27.2% | 31.1% |
Julia Scott | 13.1% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 7.9% | 2.3% |
Adrien Barnes | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 21.4% | 48.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.