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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.85+1.12vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.34+2.23vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University1.06+0.13vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.83-0.57vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.83-1.57vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-0.30-0.76vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-0.34-1.74vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University0.01-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12University of Michigan1.850.4%1st Place
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4.23Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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3.13Michigan State University1.060.2%1st Place
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3.43Purdue University0.830.2%1st Place
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3.43Purdue University0.830.2%1st Place
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5.24Grand Valley State University-0.300.0%1st Place
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5.26Western Michigan University-0.340.0%1st Place
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4.58Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Etheridge | 42.6% | 25.4% | 17.5% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 8.2% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 18.7% | 19.4% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Declercq | 16.9% | 24.5% | 20.3% | 17.3% | 11.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Phil Holt | 16.0% | 17.8% | 18.9% | 18.8% | 15.1% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Phil Holt | 16.0% | 17.8% | 18.9% | 18.8% | 15.1% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Barnes | 3.6% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 16.9% | 21.0% | 32.4% | 0.0% |
| Blake Utz | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 23.2% | 32.8% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Henley | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 19.2% | 23.0% | 15.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.