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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.76+4.78vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.84+6.87vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.82+2.72vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.57-0.25vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.83+3.82vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.64+0.46vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.97-1.72vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.18-0.30vs Predicted
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9Bates College0.78+3.45vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.10+4.05vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.20-3.16vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.49-5.29vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.69-0.43vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.41-6.84vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.97-3.35vs Predicted
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16McGill University-0.38-0.87vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.52-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.78Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.87Boston University1.840.0%1st Place
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5.72Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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3.75Yale University3.570.2%1st Place
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8.82University of Vermont1.830.0%1st Place
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6.46Connecticut College2.640.1%1st Place
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5.28Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.7Roger Williams University2.180.1%1st Place
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12.45Bates College0.780.0%1st Place
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14.05University of New Hampshire0.100.0%1st Place
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7.84Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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6.71Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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12.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.690.0%1st Place
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7.16Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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11.65University of Rhode Island0.970.0%1st Place
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15.13McGill University-0.380.0%1st Place
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13.06Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Max Bulger | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Ballow | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Sky Adams | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Nickbarg | 21.2% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alden Winder | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Timothy Clark | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 11.7% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Campbell Duffy | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Pedersen | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 7.0% |
| Whit Durant | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 21.5% | 21.3% |
| Emily McNeil | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Ben Lamont | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Santiago Enrique | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 7.8% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Douglas Young | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 4.5% |
| Stephanie Clement | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 12.3% | 16.9% | 45.8% |
| Cameron Murphy | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 17.7% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.