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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College0.58+1.67vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.45+0.91vs Predicted
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3University of Central Florida-0.46+1.95vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.13+0.03vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida-0.31-0.45vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-0.33-1.96vs Predicted
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7-2.06-0.76vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-1.99-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67Rollins College0.5828.7%1st Place
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2.91University of South Florida0.4524.6%1st Place
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4.95University of Central Florida-0.467.4%1st Place
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4.03Rollins College-0.1312.8%1st Place
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4.55University of South Florida-0.319.2%1st Place
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4.04Jacksonville University-0.3311.3%1st Place
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6.24-2.063.5%1st Place
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6.62University of Central Florida-1.992.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shay Bridge | 28.7% | 25.4% | 19.4% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Sara Menesale | 24.6% | 22.0% | 19.1% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Julian Larsen | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 19.2% | 17.5% | 9.1% |
| Julia Scott | 12.8% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 8.9% | 2.9% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 9.2% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 18.2% | 14.2% | 5.5% |
| Kayla Putzke | 11.3% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 2.8% |
| Liam Dunn | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 25.9% | 32.6% |
| Adrien Barnes | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 11.7% | 21.3% | 46.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.