← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan1.84+0.46vs Predicted
-
2Purdue University-0.13+1.21vs Predicted
-
3Michigan State University-0.39+0.48vs Predicted
-
4Purdue University-0.13-0.79vs Predicted
-
5Ohio State University0.25-2.19vs Predicted
-
6Grand Valley State University-1.29-1.43vs Predicted
-
7Michigan Technological University-2.31-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.46University of Michigan1.840.7%1st Place
-
3.21Purdue University-0.130.1%1st Place
-
3.48Michigan State University-0.390.1%1st Place
-
3.21Purdue University-0.130.1%1st Place
-
2.81Ohio State University0.250.1%1st Place
-
4.57Grand Valley State University-1.290.0%1st Place
-
5.47Michigan Technological University-2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Wolters | 66.5% | 23.5% | 7.7% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Williams | 8.2% | 23.0% | 29.0% | 21.9% | 14.9% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Dickey | 8.5% | 16.3% | 21.6% | 29.8% | 19.7% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Evan Williams | 8.2% | 23.0% | 29.0% | 21.9% | 14.9% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| William Lewis | 14.0% | 28.9% | 28.5% | 20.8% | 6.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholaas Zomer | 2.2% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 18.4% | 38.4% | 24.3% | 0.0% |
| RAYMOND STETTER | 0.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 6.9% | 20.3% | 67.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.