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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.31+1.29vs Predicted
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2University of Buffalo1.00+0.55vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-1.14+1.63vs Predicted
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4Columbia University0.51-0.87vs Predicted
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5Colgate University1.10-2.41vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-3.02-0.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29Cornell University1.310.3%1st Place
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2.55University of Buffalo1.000.3%1st Place
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4.63Syracuse University-1.140.0%1st Place
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3.13Columbia University0.510.1%1st Place
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2.59Colgate University1.100.2%1st Place
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5.82Penn State University-3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Juckniess | 32.1% | 28.2% | 22.0% | 14.5% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Dante Iozzo | 25.6% | 23.9% | 26.8% | 17.9% | 5.6% | 0.2% |
| Claire Michaud | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 11.6% | 64.7% | 11.0% |
| Nicole Edwards | 14.8% | 16.7% | 22.8% | 33.0% | 12.1% | 0.6% |
| Sara Klik | 23.9% | 26.4% | 22.6% | 21.8% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| Margot Harvath | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 9.8% | 87.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.