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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.31+1.28vs Predicted
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2Colgate University1.10+0.46vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo1.00-0.42vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-1.14+0.67vs Predicted
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5Columbia University0.51-1.80vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-3.02-0.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28Cornell University1.310.3%1st Place
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2.46Colgate University1.100.3%1st Place
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2.58University of Buffalo1.000.2%1st Place
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4.67Syracuse University-1.140.0%1st Place
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3.2Columbia University0.510.1%1st Place
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5.82Penn State University-3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Juckniess | 31.2% | 29.4% | 23.0% | 13.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Sara Klik | 29.7% | 23.0% | 24.3% | 17.7% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 24.1% | 24.5% | 25.5% | 21.4% | 4.2% | 0.3% |
| Claire Michaud | 1.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 12.0% | 66.1% | 10.3% |
| Nicole Edwards | 12.9% | 17.6% | 21.8% | 33.5% | 13.0% | 1.2% |
| Margot Harvath | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 2.1% | 8.7% | 87.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.