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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-1.14+3.69vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.31+0.23vs Predicted
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3Colgate University1.10-0.56vs Predicted
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4Columbia University0.51-0.87vs Predicted
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5University of Buffalo1.00-2.31vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-3.02-0.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69Syracuse University-1.140.0%1st Place
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2.23Cornell University1.310.3%1st Place
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2.44Colgate University1.100.3%1st Place
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3.13Columbia University0.510.1%1st Place
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2.69University of Buffalo1.000.2%1st Place
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5.82Penn State University-3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Michaud | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 11.8% | 65.5% | 11.6% |
| Connor Juckniess | 32.9% | 30.0% | 21.2% | 12.7% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Sara Klik | 27.9% | 24.8% | 26.9% | 16.5% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Nicole Edwards | 14.7% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 35.0% | 11.1% | 0.8% |
| Dante Iozzo | 21.4% | 24.2% | 25.2% | 22.7% | 6.1% | 0.4% |
| Margot Harvath | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 10.5% | 86.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.