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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.31+1.26vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-1.14+2.69vs Predicted
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3Colgate University1.10-0.55vs Predicted
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4Columbia University0.51-0.90vs Predicted
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5University of Buffalo1.00-2.31vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-3.02-0.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26Cornell University1.310.3%1st Place
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4.69Syracuse University-1.140.0%1st Place
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2.45Colgate University1.100.3%1st Place
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3.1Columbia University0.510.2%1st Place
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2.69University of Buffalo1.000.2%1st Place
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5.82Penn State University-3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Juckniess | 33.2% | 28.8% | 19.8% | 15.3% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Claire Michaud | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 11.6% | 66.0% | 11.1% |
| Sara Klik | 26.4% | 26.7% | 27.3% | 15.0% | 4.5% | 0.1% |
| Nicole Edwards | 15.9% | 15.6% | 22.6% | 35.2% | 10.0% | 0.7% |
| Dante Iozzo | 21.6% | 25.0% | 24.7% | 20.9% | 7.3% | 0.5% |
| Margot Harvath | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 2.0% | 9.6% | 87.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.