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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Colgate University1.10+1.50vs Predicted
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2University of Buffalo1.00+0.58vs Predicted
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3Columbia University0.51+0.11vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.31-1.73vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-1.14-0.27vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-3.02-0.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Colgate University1.100.3%1st Place
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2.58University of Buffalo1.000.2%1st Place
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3.11Columbia University0.510.1%1st Place
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2.27Cornell University1.310.3%1st Place
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4.73Syracuse University-1.140.0%1st Place
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5.8Penn State University-3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Klik | 25.8% | 26.7% | 23.6% | 19.3% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Dante Iozzo | 24.8% | 25.1% | 23.8% | 20.2% | 5.7% | 0.4% |
| Nicole Edwards | 14.6% | 16.9% | 23.0% | 34.5% | 10.4% | 0.6% |
| Connor Juckniess | 32.6% | 26.9% | 23.1% | 15.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Claire Michaud | 1.9% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 65.8% | 13.1% |
| Margot Harvath | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 11.9% | 85.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.