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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Colgate University1.10+1.53vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.31+0.22vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo1.00-0.43vs Predicted
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4Columbia University0.51-0.87vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-1.14-0.26vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-3.02-0.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53Colgate University1.100.2%1st Place
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2.22Cornell University1.310.3%1st Place
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2.57University of Buffalo1.000.2%1st Place
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3.13Columbia University0.510.1%1st Place
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4.74Syracuse University-1.140.0%1st Place
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5.81Penn State University-3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Klik | 24.5% | 27.0% | 23.6% | 20.6% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Connor Juckniess | 34.3% | 28.7% | 20.7% | 13.6% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Dante Iozzo | 24.7% | 23.8% | 25.7% | 21.6% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Nicole Edwards | 14.2% | 16.0% | 24.5% | 33.6% | 11.2% | 0.5% |
| Claire Michaud | 1.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 66.8% | 13.0% |
| Margot Harvath | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.6% | 11.5% | 85.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.