← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Buffalo1.00+1.62vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University1.31+0.23vs Predicted
-
3Columbia University0.51+0.12vs Predicted
-
4Colgate University1.10-1.50vs Predicted
-
5Syracuse University-1.14-0.27vs Predicted
-
6Penn State University-3.02-0.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.62University of Buffalo1.000.2%1st Place
-
2.23Cornell University1.310.3%1st Place
-
3.12Columbia University0.510.2%1st Place
-
2.5Colgate University1.100.3%1st Place
-
4.73Syracuse University-1.140.0%1st Place
-
5.8Penn State University-3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dante Iozzo | 22.7% | 25.9% | 24.1% | 21.7% | 5.3% | 0.3% |
| Connor Juckniess | 33.9% | 27.9% | 22.2% | 13.5% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicole Edwards | 15.2% | 16.3% | 21.7% | 35.4% | 10.8% | 0.6% |
| Sara Klik | 26.0% | 25.5% | 25.3% | 19.5% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Claire Michaud | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 66.0% | 13.3% |
| Margot Harvath | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 11.9% | 85.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.