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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.31+1.29vs Predicted
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2University of Buffalo1.00+0.57vs Predicted
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3Colgate University1.10-0.53vs Predicted
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4Columbia University0.51-0.88vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-1.14-0.26vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-3.02-0.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29Cornell University1.310.3%1st Place
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2.57University of Buffalo1.000.3%1st Place
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2.47Colgate University1.100.3%1st Place
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3.12Columbia University0.510.1%1st Place
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4.74Syracuse University-1.140.0%1st Place
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5.8Penn State University-3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Juckniess | 31.4% | 28.9% | 22.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Dante Iozzo | 25.4% | 23.6% | 25.0% | 20.6% | 5.0% | 0.4% |
| Sara Klik | 26.2% | 26.1% | 25.5% | 18.9% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Nicole Edwards | 14.6% | 17.0% | 22.0% | 34.9% | 11.0% | 0.5% |
| Claire Michaud | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 9.7% | 66.5% | 12.9% |
| Margot Harvath | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 11.5% | 85.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.