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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.31+1.28vs Predicted
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2Columbia University0.51+1.12vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo1.00-0.42vs Predicted
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4Colgate University1.10-1.53vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-3.02+0.81vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-1.14-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28Cornell University1.310.3%1st Place
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3.12Columbia University0.510.1%1st Place
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2.58University of Buffalo1.000.2%1st Place
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2.47Colgate University1.100.3%1st Place
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5.81Penn State University-3.020.0%1st Place
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4.73Syracuse University-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Juckniess | 31.4% | 29.8% | 21.3% | 14.2% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Edwards | 15.0% | 18.3% | 20.0% | 34.3% | 11.5% | 0.9% |
| Dante Iozzo | 24.5% | 23.2% | 26.8% | 20.6% | 4.6% | 0.3% |
| Sara Klik | 26.7% | 25.1% | 26.2% | 18.4% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Margot Harvath | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 10.7% | 86.7% |
| Claire Michaud | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 11.6% | 66.3% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.