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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida0.45+1.84vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida-0.31+2.60vs Predicted
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3Rollins College-0.13+1.00vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-0.33+0.03vs Predicted
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5University of Central Florida-0.46-0.02vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.58-3.33vs Predicted
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7-2.06-0.83vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-1.99-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84University of South Florida0.4525.7%1st Place
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4.6University of South Florida-0.318.1%1st Place
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4.0Rollins College-0.1312.2%1st Place
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4.03Jacksonville University-0.3311.7%1st Place
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4.98University of Central Florida-0.467.1%1st Place
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2.67Rollins College0.5829.4%1st Place
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6.17-2.063.6%1st Place
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6.71University of Central Florida-1.992.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Menesale | 25.7% | 23.8% | 18.3% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 8.1% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 19.7% | 14.2% | 5.3% |
| Julia Scott | 12.2% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 17.1% | 17.4% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 2.4% |
| Kayla Putzke | 11.7% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 9.2% | 2.2% |
| Julian Larsen | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 19.4% | 18.2% | 9.3% |
| Shay Bridge | 29.4% | 23.8% | 19.4% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Liam Dunn | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 24.9% | 31.2% |
| Adrien Barnes | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 21.1% | 48.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.