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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.79+0.42vs Predicted
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2Columbia University-0.51+1.67vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo-0.24+0.36vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-2.42+1.53vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.22-1.58vs Predicted
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6Colgate University-0.40-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.42Cornell University1.790.7%1st Place
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3.67Columbia University-0.510.1%1st Place
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3.36University of Buffalo-0.240.1%1st Place
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5.53Penn State University-2.420.0%1st Place
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3.42Syracuse University-0.220.1%1st Place
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3.59Colgate University-0.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton Sasaki | 69.8% | 21.0% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Haley Collins | 6.0% | 17.3% | 20.6% | 23.6% | 24.7% | 7.8% |
| James Mullane | 9.2% | 19.8% | 24.6% | 22.2% | 20.3% | 3.9% |
| John Driscoll | 0.6% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 12.4% | 75.9% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 8.0% | 21.3% | 21.9% | 23.9% | 18.9% | 6.0% |
| Lindsay Burroughs | 6.4% | 18.2% | 21.5% | 24.3% | 23.3% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.