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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.79+0.45vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.22+1.31vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo-0.24+0.31vs Predicted
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4Colgate University-0.40-0.45vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-0.51-1.20vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-2.42-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.45Cornell University1.790.7%1st Place
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3.31Syracuse University-0.220.1%1st Place
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3.31University of Buffalo-0.240.1%1st Place
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3.55Colgate University-0.400.1%1st Place
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3.8Columbia University-0.510.1%1st Place
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5.59Penn State University-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton Sasaki | 68.0% | 22.4% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 7.7% | 23.8% | 24.8% | 21.8% | 17.7% | 4.2% |
| James Mullane | 9.7% | 21.0% | 23.4% | 23.6% | 18.9% | 3.4% |
| Lindsay Burroughs | 7.8% | 16.8% | 22.2% | 23.7% | 25.0% | 4.5% |
| Haley Collins | 6.1% | 13.9% | 20.0% | 23.6% | 27.2% | 9.2% |
| John Driscoll | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 10.6% | 78.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.