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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.79+0.44vs Predicted
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2Columbia University-0.51+1.66vs Predicted
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3Colgate University-0.40+0.51vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo-0.24-0.66vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.22-1.54vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-2.42-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.44Cornell University1.790.7%1st Place
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3.66Columbia University-0.510.1%1st Place
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3.51Colgate University-0.400.1%1st Place
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3.34University of Buffalo-0.240.1%1st Place
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3.46Syracuse University-0.220.1%1st Place
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5.59Penn State University-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton Sasaki | 68.3% | 22.4% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Haley Collins | 5.6% | 17.1% | 22.7% | 22.0% | 25.4% | 7.2% |
| Lindsay Burroughs | 8.3% | 17.7% | 22.0% | 23.8% | 23.2% | 5.0% |
| James Mullane | 9.4% | 19.7% | 24.4% | 23.1% | 20.4% | 3.0% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 7.7% | 21.1% | 21.4% | 23.5% | 20.2% | 6.1% |
| John Driscoll | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 78.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.