← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University1.79+0.43vs Predicted
-
2Columbia University-0.51+1.66vs Predicted
-
3Colgate University-0.40+0.53vs Predicted
-
4Penn State University-2.42+1.54vs Predicted
-
5Syracuse University-0.22-1.58vs Predicted
-
6University of Buffalo-0.24-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.43Cornell University1.790.7%1st Place
-
3.66Columbia University-0.510.1%1st Place
-
3.53Colgate University-0.400.1%1st Place
-
5.54Penn State University-2.420.0%1st Place
-
3.42Syracuse University-0.220.1%1st Place
-
3.42University of Buffalo-0.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton Sasaki | 69.7% | 20.8% | 7.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Haley Collins | 5.9% | 17.9% | 20.4% | 23.0% | 25.3% | 7.5% |
| Lindsay Burroughs | 8.1% | 17.0% | 22.6% | 23.8% | 22.8% | 5.7% |
| John Driscoll | 0.6% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 12.3% | 76.1% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 8.2% | 21.3% | 22.2% | 23.2% | 19.3% | 5.8% |
| James Mullane | 7.5% | 20.8% | 23.0% | 24.0% | 19.9% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.