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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University-0.51+2.72vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.22+1.29vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.79-1.58vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo-0.24-0.65vs Predicted
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5Colgate University-0.40-1.37vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-2.42-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Columbia University-0.510.1%1st Place
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3.29Syracuse University-0.220.1%1st Place
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1.42Cornell University1.790.7%1st Place
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3.35University of Buffalo-0.240.1%1st Place
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3.63Colgate University-0.400.1%1st Place
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5.59Penn State University-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haley Collins | 5.5% | 15.9% | 20.2% | 24.4% | 27.1% | 6.9% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 9.1% | 22.5% | 24.0% | 23.1% | 17.6% | 3.7% |
| Clayton Sasaki | 68.5% | 23.6% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| James Mullane | 9.4% | 19.4% | 25.4% | 22.2% | 20.1% | 3.5% |
| Lindsay Burroughs | 6.8% | 16.6% | 22.0% | 23.1% | 24.1% | 7.4% |
| John Driscoll | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 10.8% | 78.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.