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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.79+0.45vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.22+1.30vs Predicted
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3Colgate University-0.40+0.51vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo-0.24-0.65vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-0.51-1.20vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-2.42-0.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.45Cornell University1.790.7%1st Place
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3.3Syracuse University-0.220.1%1st Place
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3.51Colgate University-0.400.1%1st Place
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3.35University of Buffalo-0.240.1%1st Place
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3.8Columbia University-0.510.1%1st Place
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5.6Penn State University-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton Sasaki | 67.8% | 22.5% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 7.8% | 23.6% | 25.4% | 21.4% | 17.8% | 4.0% |
| Lindsay Burroughs | 8.4% | 18.2% | 20.9% | 24.3% | 23.3% | 4.9% |
| James Mullane | 9.4% | 19.1% | 24.8% | 23.4% | 20.3% | 3.0% |
| Haley Collins | 6.0% | 14.6% | 19.3% | 23.2% | 27.6% | 9.3% |
| John Driscoll | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 10.4% | 78.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.