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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Colgate University-0.40+2.58vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.22+1.27vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.79-1.58vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo-0.24-0.66vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-0.51-1.21vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-2.42-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58Colgate University-0.400.1%1st Place
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3.27Syracuse University-0.220.1%1st Place
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1.42Cornell University1.790.7%1st Place
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3.34University of Buffalo-0.240.1%1st Place
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3.79Columbia University-0.510.1%1st Place
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5.58Penn State University-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay Burroughs | 6.5% | 18.2% | 21.0% | 24.9% | 23.7% | 5.7% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 9.1% | 22.8% | 24.0% | 23.6% | 16.6% | 3.9% |
| Clayton Sasaki | 68.5% | 23.4% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| James Mullane | 9.2% | 19.8% | 25.2% | 22.6% | 19.9% | 3.3% |
| Haley Collins | 6.0% | 13.9% | 21.0% | 22.2% | 27.6% | 9.3% |
| John Driscoll | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 11.9% | 77.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.