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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.79+0.44vs Predicted
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2Colgate University-0.40+1.53vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.22+0.30vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo-0.24-0.65vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-0.51-1.22vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-2.42-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.44Cornell University1.790.7%1st Place
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3.53Colgate University-0.400.1%1st Place
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3.3Syracuse University-0.220.1%1st Place
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3.35University of Buffalo-0.240.1%1st Place
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3.78Columbia University-0.510.1%1st Place
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5.59Penn State University-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton Sasaki | 67.7% | 23.6% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lindsay Burroughs | 6.5% | 19.2% | 23.5% | 21.6% | 23.7% | 5.5% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 10.1% | 21.1% | 23.2% | 23.2% | 19.4% | 3.0% |
| James Mullane | 9.2% | 19.5% | 24.2% | 24.1% | 20.2% | 2.8% |
| Haley Collins | 5.9% | 14.6% | 20.2% | 23.3% | 26.5% | 9.5% |
| John Driscoll | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 79.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.