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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.63+9.42vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+4.31vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.64+7.53vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.73+5.97vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.82+4.44vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.65+4.49vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.12+1.43vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+0.15vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.49+2.03vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.95-1.08vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.23+1.45vs Predicted
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12Stanford University4.19-3.97vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College3.05+0.59vs Predicted
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14Fordham University3.25-1.81vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-4.51vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-3.71vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.04-3.91vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-6.09vs Predicted
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19Harvard University3.49-7.96vs Predicted
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20Dartmouth College3.49-8.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.42University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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6.31Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.53Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.97Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.44Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.49College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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8.43Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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11.03University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.92Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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12.45Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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8.03Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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13.59SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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12.19Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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10.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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12.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
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13.09University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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11.91St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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11.04Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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11.24Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% |
| Graham Landy | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Jake Reynolds | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% |
| Raul Rios | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Stocke | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% |
| William Macdonald | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% |
| Kieran Chung | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Nick Valente | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 15.3% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% |
| Alexander Stewart | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% |
| Eddie Cox | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% |
| Connor Trepton | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 12.7% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% |
| Scott Houck | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.