← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida3.49+10.11vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+6.27vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+8.87vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University4.19+3.91vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.49+6.07vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.64+4.55vs Predicted
-
7Boston College4.12+1.44vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College3.23+4.08vs Predicted
-
9Yale University4.55-2.84vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University3.73-0.04vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Maritime College3.05+2.25vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University3.25+0.52vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University3.95-3.69vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University3.49-2.94vs Predicted
-
15College of Charleston3.65-4.61vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont3.63-5.62vs Predicted
-
17Old Dominion University3.82-7.67vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-7.34vs Predicted
-
19Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-6.72vs Predicted
-
20University of Wisconsin3.04-6.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.11University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
-
8.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
-
11.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
-
7.91Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
-
11.07Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
-
10.55Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
-
8.44Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
-
12.08Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
-
6.16Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
-
9.96Tufts University3.730.0%1st Place
-
13.25SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
-
12.52Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
-
9.31Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
11.06Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
-
10.39College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
-
10.38University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
-
9.33Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
10.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.0%1st Place
-
12.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
-
13.39University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Stocke | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% |
| Kieran Chung | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Scott Houck | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Raul Rios | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% |
| Graham Landy | 10.8% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% |
| Nick Valente | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 13.8% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% |
| William Macdonald | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Brian Drumm | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Eddie Cox | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% |
| Connor Trepton | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.