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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+9.43vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.73+7.89vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.12+5.24vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.49+7.09vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.63+5.43vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.49+5.23vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.49+4.52vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.65+2.12vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-0.86vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.25+2.30vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.05+2.24vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.23+0.65vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-0.30vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-2.24vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.55-8.62vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.95-7.06vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University3.82-7.63vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin3.04-4.70vs Predicted
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19Brown University3.64-8.64vs Predicted
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20Stanford University4.19-12.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.0%1st Place
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9.89Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.24Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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11.09Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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10.43University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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11.23Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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11.52University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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10.12College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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8.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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12.3Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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13.24SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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12.65Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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12.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
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11.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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6.38Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.94Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.37Old Dominion University3.820.0%1st Place
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13.3University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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10.36Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.9Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Raul Rios | 7.6% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% |
| Scott Houck | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% |
| Christopher Stocke | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% |
| Nick Valente | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 14.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.8% |
| Eddie Cox | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 11.2% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% |
| Graham Landy | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| William Macdonald | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| Connor Trepton | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 12.6% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Kieran Chung | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.