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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+5.24vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.63+8.45vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+5.46vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.95+4.92vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.64+5.37vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.49+5.18vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.12+1.42vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.73+1.72vs Predicted
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9Stanford University4.19-1.32vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.65+0.39vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.49+0.20vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.23+0.65vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.49-1.51vs Predicted
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14Fordham University3.25-1.75vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-4.50vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College3.05-2.86vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.04-3.95vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-6.07vs Predicted
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19Old Dominion University3.82-9.51vs Predicted
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20Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-7.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.45University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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8.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.92Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.37Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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11.18University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.42Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.72Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.68Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.39College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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11.2Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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12.65Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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11.49Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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12.25Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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10.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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13.14SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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13.05University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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11.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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9.49Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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12.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 12.9% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| William Macdonald | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Christopher Stocke | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% |
| Raul Rios | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Kieran Chung | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Jake Reynolds | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 9.3% |
| Scott Houck | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% |
| Alexander Stewart | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% |
| Nick Valente | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 14.6% |
| Connor Trepton | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.9% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 6.8% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% |
| Eddie Cox | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.