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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.73+8.98vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.63+8.46vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.65+7.50vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+2.35vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.12+3.07vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.64+4.51vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+5.18vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.49+2.88vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+3.23vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.95-1.14vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-0.43vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.23+0.55vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College3.05+0.55vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.82-4.52vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.49-3.86vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.49-4.96vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-8.87vs Predicted
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18Stanford University4.19-10.06vs Predicted
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19Fordham University3.25-6.83vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin3.04-6.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.98Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.46University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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10.5College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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6.35Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.07Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.51Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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12.18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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10.88University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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12.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
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8.86Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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12.55Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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13.55SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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9.48Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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11.14Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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11.04Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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8.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.94Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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12.17Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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13.41University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% |
| Graham Landy | 11.0% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Raul Rios | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Lucas Adams | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% |
| Christopher Stocke | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% |
| Eddie Cox | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% |
| William Macdonald | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
| Alexander Stewart | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% |
| Nick Valente | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 15.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% |
| Scott Houck | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% |
| Kieran Chung | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% |
| Connor Trepton | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.