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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+7.23vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.49+9.17vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.55+3.45vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.12+4.11vs Predicted
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5Stanford University4.19+2.79vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.95+3.00vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.65+3.71vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+4.11vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.82+0.37vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.25+2.30vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.63-0.45vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin3.04+1.47vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-2.13vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.49-2.90vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-3.22vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.73-6.04vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.49-6.07vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.64-7.49vs Predicted
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19Connecticut College3.23-6.71vs Predicted
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20SUNY Maritime College3.05-6.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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11.17Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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6.45Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.11Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.79Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.0Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.71College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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12.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
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9.37Old Dominion University3.820.0%1st Place
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12.3Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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10.55University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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13.47University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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10.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.0%1st Place
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11.1Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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11.78St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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9.96Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.93University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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10.51Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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12.29Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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13.32SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Fanning | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Scott Houck | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% |
| Graham Landy | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Raul Rios | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Kieran Chung | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| William Macdonald | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Jake Reynolds | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% |
| Eddie Cox | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% |
| Esteban Forrer | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 14.5% |
| Alexander Stewart | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% |
| Christopher Stocke | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% |
| Lucas Adams | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% |
| Nick Valente | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.