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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.49+10.06vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+10.30vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.65+7.46vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+6.47vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.73+4.95vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.05+7.30vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.82+2.82vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.49+2.90vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-0.81vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+1.92vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.23+1.44vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.95-2.91vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.49-1.45vs Predicted
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14Boston College4.12-5.94vs Predicted
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15Stanford University4.19-7.10vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin3.04-2.77vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.64-6.76vs Predicted
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18Yale University4.55-11.61vs Predicted
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19Fordham University3.25-6.84vs Predicted
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20University of Vermont3.63-9.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.06Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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12.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
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10.46College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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10.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.0%1st Place
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9.95Tufts University3.730.0%1st Place
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13.3SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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9.82Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.9University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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11.92St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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12.44Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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9.09Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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11.55Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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8.06Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.9Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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13.23University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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10.24Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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6.39Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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12.16Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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10.58University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Houck | 3.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% |
| Eddie Cox | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
| Alexander Stewart | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Nick Valente | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.9% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% |
| Christopher Stocke | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% |
| William Macdonald | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% |
| Raul Rios | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Kieran Chung | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 13.7% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% |
| Graham Landy | 10.0% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.