← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.73+8.96vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University3.49+9.12vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston3.65+7.47vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont3.63+6.45vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.49+6.06vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+5.88vs Predicted
-
7Yale University4.55-0.46vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University3.95+0.76vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida3.49+2.00vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University3.82-0.44vs Predicted
-
11Brown University3.64-0.54vs Predicted
-
12University of Wisconsin3.04+1.49vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University3.25-0.33vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-5.74vs Predicted
-
15Stanford University4.19-7.13vs Predicted
-
16Boston College4.12-7.88vs Predicted
-
17Connecticut College3.23-4.82vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-7.41vs Predicted
-
19Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-6.72vs Predicted
-
20SUNY Maritime College3.05-6.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.96Tufts University3.730.0%1st Place
-
11.12Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
-
10.47College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
-
10.45University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
-
11.06Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
-
11.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
-
6.54Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
-
8.76Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
11.0University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
-
9.56Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
10.46Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
-
13.49University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
-
12.67Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
-
8.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
-
7.87Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
-
8.12Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
-
12.18Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
-
10.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.0%1st Place
-
12.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
-
13.28SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% |
| Scott Houck | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% |
| Graham Landy | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| William Macdonald | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Stocke | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% |
| Connor Trepton | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 15.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 11.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Kieran Chung | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Raul Rios | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% |
| Alexander Stewart | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| Eddie Cox | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% |
| Nick Valente | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.