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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+5.22vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.73+7.89vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.65+7.57vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.25+8.26vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.63+5.36vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+6.38vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.12+1.43vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.82+1.30vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.64+1.28vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.49+1.13vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-2.58vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-1.23vs Predicted
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13Stanford University4.19-4.82vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.05-0.89vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.49-3.86vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-4.16vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.23-4.81vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.49-6.76vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin3.04-5.80vs Predicted
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20Roger Williams University3.95-10.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.89Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.57College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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12.26Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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10.36University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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12.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
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8.43Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.3Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.28Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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11.13Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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8.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.18Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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13.11SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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11.14University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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11.84St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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12.19Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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11.24Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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13.2University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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9.08Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.4% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Eddie Cox | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% |
| Raul Rios | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Brian Drumm | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Stewart | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| Kieran Chung | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Nick Valente | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 14.4% |
| Christopher Stocke | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% |
| Scott Houck | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
| Connor Trepton | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 12.6% |
| William Macdonald | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.